Three weeks ago, in a race over the same distance, this horse performed very well despite a slow start, settling towards the rear and finishing strongly with fast sections. This time he benefits from a two-pound weight reduction and is competing against similar times. He should be able to secure a good position tracking the leaders; the barrier draw is reasonable. The jockey has some understanding of the horse's capabilities, but faces an outside barrier, a potential weakness in finishing kick, and the trainer/jockey combination isn’t ideal.