Three weeks ago, over the same distance, this horse performed well, tracking the leader and finishing a close second, beaten by half a length. Showing good level of performance. Now stepping up in class with a 15-pound weight reduction, he has proven form over this course and distance, and is competitively timed within his group. He’s capable of taking an early lead, enjoys advantageous circumstances, and based on ability, is the strongest contender in this race. The jockey understands how to control the horse's pace and conserve energy for the finish; even with a potentially weak finishing kick, if the trainer and jockey can collaborate effectively, and he jumps cleanly, he will aim for the front.