Last run winner, four weeks ago over this distance, performed well. Slow start, settled towards the rear, but finished strongly to win. This time need to carry 7 pounds more weight, having previously won twice over this course and distance, with good times recorded. Expected to settle towards the rear again, possessing the strongest finishing kick in the field. Favorable conditions and relative strength make him the leading contender in this race. Trainer and jockey are a good match, well-prepared, and capable of another victory.