Two weeks ago, in a race over the same distance, this horse jumped slowly and settled towards the back but maintained a steady pace without showing a strong surge at any point. He finished fifth, beaten two and a half lengths. This time, with a 2lb weight reduction, he has drawn poorly, putting him at a disadvantage. Despite similar times within his group, he is expected to challenge for the lead. The trainer and jockey have a reasonable working relationship, and his morning workouts show consistent progress; however, he isn’t considered a strong contender in this race.