Last run winner, three weeks ago over the same distance, performed extremely well, jumped slowly and settled at the rear before finishing with a fast final two sections to win. This time requires carrying seven pounds more weight; although successful twice previously over this course and distance, holding the best time in the group, drawing a good barrier, expected to settle back, possessing the strongest finishing kick in the field. Trainer and jockey are well-matched, but the current conditions aren't ideal – a pace-trailing approach is recommended.