Three weeks ago, over the same distance, this horse underperformed. It jumped slowly and settled towards the rear with a steady pace, but showed some late acceleration. He finished beaten three and a half lengths. This time, he’ll carry one pound more in weight, faces similar timing conditions, and has drawn a poor barrier. The likely tactic is to settle back again, however, his finishing kick isn't as strong as the opposition, making his chances questionable despite some previous form over this distance.