Four weeks ago, over this same distance, the horse ran well, settling in a good position tracking the leaders and making a mid-race move with strong acceleration. He finished second, beaten two and a half lengths – a respectable performance. For this race, he benefits from an eight-pound weight reduction, and his group timing is favorable; he's been doing gate work recently. However, drawing an outside barrier necessitates settling back in the field, and his finishing kick may not be strong enough to challenge opponents. The draw is unfavorable, with hopes limited to securing a place.