Two weeks ago, over the same distance, this horse performed poorly with a slow start and settled towards the rear. He made a mid-race effort but faded in the final stages. This time he benefits from a four-pound weight reduction, although the section times of his group are unremarkable. The plan is to settle back again, however, his finishing kick isn’t strong enough compared to rivals, making for an unfavorable situation. Despite having won three times over this course and distance previously, with a decent barrier draw and improving fitness, winning chances appear low.