Three weeks ago, in a race over the same distance, this horse performed poorly, settling in a good position tracking the leaders with a steady pace but lacking any impressive acceleration. He finished eighth, beaten three and a half lengths. This time, he receives a two-pound weight reduction, faces a timing difference within his group, and has drawn an outside barrier. Lacking a strong finishing kick and facing unfavorable circumstances, despite having secured three wins over this distance previously, his chances of leading or contending are considered low.