Last run winner, three weeks ago over the same distance he ran respectably, a slow jump out and settled towards the rear before finishing with a strong burst to win. This time carrying only a two-pound weight increase, having previous form over this course and distance, good timing within his group, drawing a favorable barrier, expected to settle back in the field and rely on a finishing kick. He appears as a solid contender in this race, jockey is aware of the horse’s weaknesses, and trainer and jockey have a strong rapport, giving him a good chance to defend his title.