Three weeks ago, in a race over the same distance, this horse performed poorly, leading early with a steady pace but lacking a finishing kick and finished fourth, beaten by half a length. This time, he benefits from a two-pound weight reduction, faces relatively similar competition, and is expected to contend for the lead. Drawing a favorable barrier, his prospects look good. Based on ability compared to other runners, he appears superior, with the jockey having some understanding of the horse’s capabilities and a positive relationship with the trainer. A clean jump should allow him to secure an early leading position and finish in the top spots.