Three weeks ago, over the same distance, this horse performed well, settling in a good position tracking the leaders and launching an effort in the middle stages. He chased strongly to finish second, beaten by half a length – a narrow defeat demonstrating high quality. This time he carries only a two-pound penalty, has a favorable race timing within his group, and looks capable of challenging for the lead. His current form is good, and with his ability, he’s a strong contender in this race. The trainer and jockey have a solid relationship, with pre-race trackwork indicating good condition. A clean jump should see him aim for an early leading position and secure a place at the front of the field.