Last run winner, four weeks ago over the same distance, showed impressive form. Slow to jump, settled towards the rear before making a strong late run with fast sections to win comfortably by one and a half lengths. Stepping up in class for this race, benefits from an 11-pound weight reduction. Has performed well at this distance previously, comparable times within the field, and draws an advantageous inside barrier. Based on relative strength, he is the strongest contender in this race; horse, jockey and trainer appear to be a good match, with strong chances of defending his title.