Last ran winner, two weeks ago over the same distance, delivered an excellent performance leading from start to finish with a strong final surge to win. Stepping up in class this time with a 14-pound weight reduction, having previously won twice over this course and distance, possesses the fastest times among its rivals, is capable of taking the lead, draws a favorable barrier, and appears in good form. Based on relative strength, it's considered the strongest contender in this race; trainer and jockey are a good match, and with a clean break and commitment to leading, should be competitive.