Four weeks ago, over the same distance, this horse performed consistently but unspectacularly, taking an early lead and making a mid-race move, but failing to maintain it to the finish. This time with a one-pound weight reduction, having previously secured two wins at this distance, the competition is relatively even. It has potential for an early pace advantage, the jockey has some familiarity with the horse’s capabilities, and is showing good current form. Despite a potentially unfavorable barrier draw and trainer/jockey incompatibility, a clean break and intention to lead could see improvement.