Four weeks ago, over the same distance, this horse ran respectably despite a slow jump and settling towards the rear. It showed strong late momentum to finish third, beaten two and a half lengths. This time it avoids a weight penalty; although it has two previous wins at this distance, the competition is even, and drawing a good barrier suggests a hold-up tactics. Finishing kick is expected, with the jockey having some familiarity with the horse’s capabilities, and trainer-jockey combination remains solid, but the overall situation isn't ideal – a likely trailing pace will be adopted.