Three weeks ago, over the same distance, this horse performed well, jumping slowly and settling towards the back before unleashing a strong late run to finish fourth, beaten two and a half lengths – showcasing a high level of ability. This time, he benefits from a one-pound weight reduction, races within his optimal group, and is expected to secure a good position tracking the leaders. The horse’s current form appears favorable; based on relative strength, he is considered the strongest contender in this race. The jockey understands how to control the pace, and trainer/jockey combination works well together. Despite four previous losses over this distance, drawing a poor barrier and lacking a strong finishing kick, the horse is expected to contend for a forward position.