Last ran winner, a month ago showed impressive form in a straight course race, leading from start to finish to take the win. Now stepping up in class to Happy Valley over a short distance, this time with a 14-pound weight reduction. He has two previous wins at this distance and comparable times to rivals. Capable of taking an early lead, he's drawn a good barrier and holds a significant advantage in ability over other contenders. Horse, jockey and trainer are well-matched; if he jumps cleanly and commits to leading, he should perform well.