Last run winner, three weeks ago over the same distance, performed exceptionally well. Slow jump out of the gate, settled towards the rear and finished with a strong two-section pace to win. This race requires carrying seven pounds more weight. The horse has previously won twice at this distance, good section times within the group, draws a favorable barrier, expected to settle back in the field with a finishing kick. In advantageous form, possessing relative strength, he is considered the strongest contender in this race. Jockey has some familiarity with the horse’s capabilities and trainer-jockey relationship remains solid; another win appears achievable.