Four weeks ago, this horse ran exceptionally well over the same distance, taking an early lead and finishing strongly in the final two sections to secure second place, beaten by half a length. He’s only been allocated a one-pound weight increase for this race; he has proven form at this distance, holds his own in terms of speed within the group, and drew a favorable barrier offering opportunities for an early lead. Compared to other contenders, he possesses a clear advantage in overall ability. The trainer and jockey have a strong rapport, with positive feedback on the horse’s recent condition and noticeable improvement from trackwork. Despite a potentially weaker finishing kick, his chances are good if he jumps cleanly and can establish a forward position.