Three weeks ago, over the same distance, this horse performed well despite a slow start, settling back in the field before finishing with a strong two-section pace to secure fourth place. He was beaten three and a half lengths, demonstrating good ability. This time he benefits from a two-pound weight reduction, has comparable section times as others in the group, and draws an advantageous inside barrier. The strategy is to settle back and rely on a finishing kick, which appears to be his strength compared to the competition. Despite having failed to win in three previous attempts over this distance, conditions are favorable for a potential upset.