Last run winner, four weeks ago over this same distance, the horse performed exceptionally well. It jumped slowly and settled back in the field before making a strong late run with fast sectionals to take victory. This time it carries only a 3lb penalty, has proven form at this distance, possesses the best time amongst its group, looks capable of leading, and draws a favourable barrier. The horse holds a clear advantage in this race; the jockey has some understanding of the horse's capabilities, and trainer and jockey have mutual trust. A clean break and intent to lead should see it finish prominently.