Three weeks ago, over the same distance, this horse ran well, taking an early lead and maintaining a good pace throughout the first two sections but lacking a strong finishing kick. He finished third, beaten three and a half lengths – a respectable performance. This time, he carries only a 2lb penalty, has proven form over this course, and recorded the fastest time in his group. He should be able to track the leaders or even set the pace. Compared to other contenders, he possesses a clear advantage in ability; however, drawing an outside barrier compromises his finishing potential, making a trailing tactics more advisable.