Four weeks ago, over the same distance, the performance was acceptable; settled in a good position tracking the leaders and made a move in the middle section but couldn't sustain it to the finish, finishing second, beaten by half a length. This time only carrying an additional two pounds, with proven form at this distance and comparable times within the group, he has the potential to lead early. Drawing a favorable barrier, based on his relative strength, he is considered the strongest contender in this race. Horse, jockey and trainer appear well-matched; provided he jumps cleanly and commits to leading, he should perform well.