Seven days ago, over the same distance, this horse performed well despite a slow start and settling towards the rear. It showed a strong late run to finish fourth, beaten only two lengths, demonstrating good ability. Racing again in quick succession, it benefits from a three-pound weight reduction this time with favorable timing within its group and drawing a good barrier. The plan is to settle back and rely on a finishing kick, making it the strongest closer in the field. The horse has a clear advantage in this race; the jockey has some familiarity with its capabilities, and trainer/jockey communication is excellent, indicating thorough preparation for a strong chance of winning.