Three weeks ago, this horse performed poorly over a Sha Tin 1200m race, tracking the leaders and showing a strong early pace. Returning to Happy Valley over 1200m this time with a one-pound weight reduction, he has previous form at this distance and comparable times within his group. The barrier draw is favourable, suggesting a hold-up strategy to utilise his finishing kick which is the strongest in the field. Overall, the horse appears to have a clear advantage over the competition in terms of ability. The jockey has some understanding of the horse’s capabilities and training has been positive; he is expected to win.